| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea wins by over 2.5 runs | 79% | 0¢ | 79¢ | — | $155 | Trade → |
| Chinese Taipei wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Korea wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chinese Taipei wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will cover the run spread during the first five innings of the Chinese Taipei vs Korea game; it matters for traders who want exposure to early-game performance rather than full-game outcomes.
Chinese Taipei and Korea are traditional rivals in international baseball, and matchups between them often feature contrasting styles — Korea is frequently known for power and depth, while Chinese Taipei emphasizes contact and situational hitting. The "first five innings" market isolates the game segment most influenced by starting pitchers and initial tactical choices, making pre-game pitcher announcements and lineup card submission particularly relevant.
Market odds aggregate trader expectations about which team will be ahead relative to the posted spread after five innings; shifts in the market typically follow new information such as announced starters, lineup changes, weather updates, or injury reports.
Closure is listed as TBD for this contract; typically markets of this type close at or shortly before the official game start or when final starting pitchers/lineups are confirmed—check the KALSHI contract page for the exact closing time.
There are four mutually exclusive outcomes defined by the contract labels on KALSHI; in this market they correspond to different spread results for the first five innings—refer to the platform's outcome descriptions to see the exact definitions and settlement rules.
Settlement is determined by the official runs scored through the completion of the top and bottom of the fifth inning as recorded by the official scorer; check the contract for tie-handling, suspended game rules, and the authoritative source of official statistics.
Monitor the confirmed starting pitchers for both teams, the published batting orders, any injury reports or late scratches, and bullpen availability; those announcements often produce the largest information-driven price moves for a five-inning market.
Weather and venue influence run scoring early in games: wind direction and temperature affect ball carry, rain or cold can reduce offense and affect pitcher grip, and ballpark size/altitude changes the likelihood of extra-base hits—these factors can materially shift expectations for scoring in the first five innings.