| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago WS wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Chicago (WS) or Milwaukee — will be leading, trailing, or tied after the first five innings of their game. It matters because first-five markets isolate early-game dynamics like the starting pitchers and top-of-lineup performance, allowing traders to express views on the game's opening half.
First-five (5-inning) markets settle based on the official score after five completed innings and are distinct from full-game bets because they exclude late-inning bullpen and clutch hitting effects. Historical patterns show these markets are heavily influenced by announced starters, lineup construction, and immediate in-game factors — not by what happens after the fifth inning. Check the market page for the exact close time and any exchange-specific settlement rules for shortened or suspended games.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders about the state of the game after five innings and will move as new information arrives (starting pitchers, lineups, weather). Use them as a real-time aggregation of that information rather than a fixed forecast.
The market has three mutually exclusive outcomes: Chicago leading after five completed innings, Milwaukee leading after five completed innings, or the score tied after five completed innings. Settlement is based on the official score at that five-inning point.
Close time is listed on the market page (TBD for this listing). Generally, first-five markets close before the scheduled first pitch; always confirm the specific close time shown on the exchange before trading.
Changes announced before market close typically drive trading activity because starters and lineups are primary drivers of first-five outcomes. If a change occurs after close but before the game, its influence depends on the exchange's rules and any post-close information policies.
Settlement follows the exchange's official rules: normally the market pays based on the official score after five completed innings. If a game is stopped before five innings and not resumed, the exchange may apply specific shortened-game rules or void the market; check the market's settlement terms.
This market is determined solely by the score after five completed innings. If the game is tied at that point, the "tied after five innings" outcome is the winning result regardless of any later-game changes.