| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 38% | 37¢ | 45¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 48% | 34¢ | 57¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 3¢ | 46¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 54¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 47¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will cover the first-half point spread in the Chicago vs Golden State game on KALSHI. First-half spread markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and react quickly to tipoff-time information such as starting lineups and injuries.
The market resolves on the official halftime score (the first 24 minutes of play in an NBA game). Chicago vs Golden State matchups often hinge on pace, three-point shooting, and matchup advantages in the backcourt; those historical tendencies make first-half lines especially sensitive to guard play and early rotations. Because this listing closes TBD and has low traded volume so far, late news and platform rules can change the market dynamics rapidly.
Market prices for each outcome reflect the collective market view of likely first-half margins and will change as new information arrives; interpret them as the market consensus at the time you view them rather than fixed forecasts. Check the market page for the current prices and the platform's resolution rules to understand how outcomes correspond to halftime scores.
It refers to the point-differential market that is decided by the official halftime score (after the first 24 minutes). Each outcome corresponds to a range or side of that halftime margin as defined on the market page.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI typically sets a closing time before tipoff and can update it on the market page. Monitor the market feed for the definitive closing timestamp.
The 11 outcomes represent discrete margin buckets or sides for the first-half spread (different ranges of which team leads and by how many points at halftime, plus any tie outcomes if offered). The market description shows the exact bracket definitions for each outcome.
Watch last-minute updates for both teams' projected starters and primary ball-handlers and scorers—early rotations, whether star players start, and any coach-declared minute restrictions have outsized effects on first-half scoring patterns.
Low volume means the market is thinly traded: prices can move sharply on small trades, order availability may be limited, and the market may be less informative about consensus than a higher-volume market. Expect larger price swings when new information arrives and check liquidity before placing sizeable bets.