| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago Fire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market is for the match between Chicago Fire and DC United; it lets participants express views on which side will prevail (or whether the match will draw) and aggregates real-time sentiment. It matters because match outcomes are driven by many changing factors that markets incorporate quickly.
Chicago Fire and DC United are Major League Soccer clubs with distinct histories and fan bases; past meetings between them include a mix of results and occasional momentum swings. Match outcomes usually reflect current squad availability, recent form, coaching tactics, home-field advantage, and scheduling pressure rather than historical reputation alone.
Market prices represent the collective view of participants and update as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, in-match events). Treat them as a quick, dynamic snapshot of perceived likelihoods, not as guarantees of the final score.
The listed close time is TBD for this market; check the KALSHI event page for updates and any announced lock time before the match or in-play trading rules.
This event offers three outcomes corresponding to the typical match result options: a Chicago Fire win, a draw, and a DC United win.
Prioritize confirmed starting lineups, injury and suspension news, recent team form, the match venue, and any short-term influences such as fixture congestion or travel—each can materially change expected dynamics.
Head-to-head history provides useful context about past tactical patterns and rivalry intensity, but its predictive value is limited compared with current-season form, lineup information, and immediate match circumstances.
For either team, look at the availability and form of primary goal scorers and creators (strikers and attacking midfielders), the goalkeeper and defensive leaders, and any playmaker whose presence alters the team’s attacking or defensive balance.