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Sports OPEN

Chicago C vs Cleveland: First 5 Spread

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
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Active Markets
4
Markets
4

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All Outcomes (4)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Cleveland -2.5 first 5 innings 0%
$0 Trade →
Cleveland -1.5 first 5 innings 0%
$0 Trade →
Chicago C -1.5 first 5 innings 0%
$0 Trade →
Chicago C -2.5 first 5 innings 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the spread for the first five innings of a baseball game between Chicago and Cleveland. It allows participants to speculate on which team will hold a lead or stay within a specific run margin during the opening phase of the contest.

In professional baseball, the 'First 5' spread is a popular way to isolate the performance of starting pitchers from the volatile bullpens that enter the game later. Factors such as the starting pitcher’s current ERA, recent fatigue, and historical performance against specific lineups often determine how the spread is set. By focusing on the first five innings, this market removes the unpredictability of late-game relief pitching.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of the point spread required to balance the likelihood of each team covering, reflecting real-time consensus on pitching and batting matchups.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the 'First 5' spread differ from the full-game spread?

The 'First 5' spread focuses exclusively on the score through the end of the fifth inning, ignoring all events that occur from the sixth inning through the remainder of the game.

What happens if the game is shortened or cancelled?

Markets generally follow standard sports data provider rules; if the first five innings are not completed in full, the market may be voided depending on the specific exchange contract terms.

Does the designated hitter (DH) rule affect this market?

Yes, the presence of the DH can significantly influence the run production in the first five innings, impacting how the spread is calculated for both teams.

Are bullpens taken into account for this market?

No, the primary appeal of this market is that it is isolated from bullpen performance, focusing strictly on the starting rotation and the top half of the batting order.

How do stadium dimensions affect the 'First 5' spread?

Ballparks with smaller dimensions or high altitude can increase home run frequency, which often leads to higher projected scoring and broader spreads.

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