| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago C | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $55K | Trade → |
| Cincinnati | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $43K | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the outcome of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati game; it matters because market prices aggregate public information about team strength, injuries, and situational factors that affect who is likely to win.
Chicago C and Cincinnati bring their recent form, roster availability, and head-to-head history into this matchup; past meetings and season trajectories provide context but do not determine a single outcome. Short-term factors — lineup changes, injuries, rest, travel, and weather or venue effects — often have outsized influence on a single game result.
Market prices reflect the consensus belief of traders at any given moment and update as new information arrives; use them as a real-time signal of changing expectations rather than a guarantee of the final result.
The market will resolve according to the official final result of the game as recognized by the event organizer (KALSHI) and the sport's governing body; the officially recorded winner will determine settlement.
The market lists two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to each team winning (for example, 'Chicago C wins' and 'Cincinnati wins'); check the market page for the exact outcome labels used for settlement.
Monitor starting lineup announcements, injury reports, late scratches, and any changes to key contributors (e.g., starting pitchers, quarterbacks, or primary scorers), as those directly shift expected win probability for either side.
Rapid moves typically reflect new, market-relevant information such as injury updates, official lineup releases, weather changes, or concentrated trader activity that adjusts the collective expectation for the match outcome.
Settlement follows the sport's official rules: the market resolves to the team declared the official winner after any overtime or extra-inning procedures, as recorded by the governing body and recognized by the event organizer.