| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves: 3+ | 45% | 6¢ | 42¢ | — | $128 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 2+ | 94% | 1¢ | 94¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 4+ | 0% | 6¢ | 59¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 4+ | 0% | 1¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 2+ | 0% | 1¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luka Dončić: 3+ | 0% | 1¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Reaves: 1+ | 0% | 1¢ | 93¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how three-point shooting will play out in the Chicago at Los Angeles L game; it matters because three-point volume can strongly influence the final score, player usage, and live betting dynamics.
Chicago vs Los Angeles matchups bring contrasting offensive styles and personnel decisions that affect perimeter shooting: one team’s roster construction and coach’s preferences determine how many three-point attempts are likely. Prediction markets break the possible range of three-pointers into discrete outcomes so traders can express views about how the game will unfold.
Market prices aggregate participants’ information and react to news (injuries, rotations, rest). Use the market as a continuously updated signal of collective expectations, but always cross-check the contract’s precise settlement rules and official box score sources.
Check the contract description on KALSHI for the precise definition: some contracts measure total three-pointers by both teams, others by a single team or a threshold range. The market’s settlement depends on that contract language and the official box score provider named in the contract.
Resolution timing is specified on the contract page; typically settlement occurs after the official game box score is posted and any platform-defined verification window ends. Because this event lists 'Closes: TBD', monitor the market page for the announced settlement timeline.
The contract specifies the authoritative data source (for example, the NBA’s official box score or another listed provider). KALSHI will use that designated source to determine the final three-point counts for settlement.
Late injuries and lineup changes can shift expectations quickly because they change who takes and defends three-point attempts. Traders typically respond in real time; if you hold positions, watch official team reports and adjust exposure accordingly.
High totals can come from a fast-paced game, heavy reliance on perimeter shooting by starters and bench, or prolonged comeback/late-game scenarios. Low totals occur with a slow tempo, dominance in the paint, early foul trouble for key shooters, or strategic emphasis on mid-range/inside offense.