| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford: 1+ | 65% | 1¢ | 95¢ | — | $76 | Trade → |
| Draymond Green: 2+ | 19% | 0¢ | 94¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| Al Horford: 3+ | 0% | 1¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Al Horford: 2+ | 0% | 1¢ | 95¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draymond Green: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draymond Green: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which blocks-related outcome will occur in the Chicago at Golden State basketball game; it matters to traders who want to speculate on defensive events rather than final scores. Blocks are a discrete, trackable stat that can move quickly with lineup and game-flow changes.
This is a KALSHI event with six distinct outcomes and a modest amount of volume traded, and the market closing time is listed as TBD. Historically, blocks markets hinge on which teams deploy their primary rim protectors, how many minutes those players receive, and the degree to which opponents attack the rim. Because outcomes are outcome-specific ranges or thresholds, small shifts in rotation or injury news can change the market materially.
Market prices represent the collective expectations of traders for each listed blocks outcome and will update as new information arrives; use them as a realtime signal that complements box-score projections, injury reports, and lineup updates.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; typically KALSHI markets close before the game starts or at a platform-specified cutoff — check the market page for the final closing timestamp and any last-minute updates.
Each of the six outcomes corresponds to a distinct blocks outcome or range defined on the market page (for example discrete totals or ranges); consult the outcome labels on the event listing to see the exact definitions used for settlement.
Primary rim protectors and rotation bigs for both teams—whoever is listed in the starters and expected to play starter-level minutes—are the main determinants; also watch versatile wings who frequently contest shots near the rim and any matchup changes announced in the starting lineup.
Very quickly: a last-minute injury, a confirmed rest, or announced minutes restriction for a key shot-blocker materially changes expected block opportunities, and traders typically adjust prices as soon as credible reports emerge.
Focus on recent individual block rates, minutes, and role stability over the last several games rather than long-ago statistics; also consider how matchup-specific factors (e.g., opponent drives to the rim) differ from the prior sample and weight current lineup and injury information most heavily.