| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida wins by over 16.5 Points | 48% | 48¢ | 51¢ | — | $468 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 31.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 96¢ | — | $388 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 28.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 97¢ | — | $387 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 22.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 25.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 14.5 Points | 55% | 55¢ | 58¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 29.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 26.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 42¢ | 83¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 52¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 43¢ | 46¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 32.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 69¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 78¢ | 86¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 58¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 55¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 31.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 95¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 28.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 25.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 45¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 27¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 14¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 57¢ | 62¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 66¢ | 72¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 55¢ | 92¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 63¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 72¢ | 95¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the point-spread outcome for the Charlotte at South Florida matchup and matters because spread markets aggregate participant expectations about the likely margin of victory, letting traders express views on which side will cover.
The market covers a head-to-head contest with Charlotte visiting South Florida; factors such as recent form, head-to-head history, injuries, travel, and coaching matchups provide the background that drives the spread. Spread markets are commonly used for football and basketball matchups and update as new information (lineups, weather, injury reports) becomes available.
Market odds summarize the consensus expectation about the final scoring margin and move as new information or money flows in. Treat the market price as a real‑time signal to combine with your own analysis and risk management rather than a definitive forecast.
The market will close and settle prior to or at game start per KALSHI’s schedule; the exact close time is listed on the market page (TBD). Settlement is based on the official final score as recorded by the recognized game authority and KALSHI’s published settlement rules.
The spread outcome reflects the final scoring margin between South Florida and Charlotte. Bets are resolved against the official final margin (home score minus away score) according to the market’s defined spread outcomes and settlement procedures.
Multiple discrete outcomes let traders take positions on a range of possible margins rather than a single binary result; each outcome corresponds to a specific point-differential interval or exact spread increment defined by the market.
Late injury reports (notably quarterbacks), confirmed starting lineups, unexpected roster changes or coach announcements, sudden weather updates, and shifts in large bet flow or liquidity are the most likely to produce rapid market movement.
Use the market price as a real-time consensus signal and compare it to your model or scouting insights; consider market liquidity and fees when sizing trades, monitor news that could change the spread, and deploy hedges if you need to limit exposure as conditions evolve.