| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte wins by over 3.5 Points | 50% | 49¢ | 50¢ | — | $75K | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 6.5 Points | 40% | 38¢ | 40¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 15.5 Points | 17% | 15¢ | 16¢ | — | $981 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 18.5 Points | 12% | 10¢ | 12¢ | — | $969 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 9.5 Points | 31% | 29¢ | 31¢ | — | $843 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 12.5 Points | 22% | 21¢ | 24¢ | — | $592 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 3.5 Points | 32% | 32¢ | 33¢ | — | $473 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 12.5 Points | 13% | 11¢ | 13¢ | — | $472 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 9.5 Points | 19% | 16¢ | 19¢ | — | $142 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 6.5 Points | 24% | 23¢ | 25¢ | — | $51 | Trade → |
This market predicts the point-margin outcome (the spread) for the Charlotte at Portland game and matters to traders who want exposure to how large a win or loss will be rather than only which team wins. It provides a way to trade expectations about the margin because many game-specific factors move spreads rapidly.
Charlotte and Portland are being evaluated on factors beyond the simple win/loss line: roster availability, recent form, matchup styles, and travel schedule all shape expected margins. Historical head-to-head results and each team’s recent offensive and defensive performance give context, but the market updates as new information (injuries, starting lineups, late scratches) arrives. Because this is a spread market, the focus is on how many points separate the teams at final whistle rather than on game-winner dynamics alone.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which point-differential outcome is most likely and will move as information changes. Use the odds to see what scenarios the market is favoring, but check the timestamped trade history and news flow for why prices moved.
The market resolves to the outcome that corresponds to the official final point differential between the teams, mapping that margin into whichever spread bucket or outcome the market uses.
Yes — resolution uses the official final score, and any overtime scoring is included in the final point differential used to determine the winning outcome.
Late scratches and confirmed starting lineups (often announced within a couple of hours before tip) are the most impactful, so monitor official injury reports and team announcements in the immediate pregame window.
Home-court typically shifts expected margins because of travel and crowd effects; how much it matters here depends on each team’s travel schedule, recent home/road splits, and any home-specific lineup advantages.
The market typically reacts quickly: prices will move to reflect the reduced expected scoring or defensive capability, changing which spread outcomes are favored, especially if the absent player is a primary scorer or on-ball defender.