| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 goals scored | 54% | 53¢ | 54¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 goals scored | 41% | 41¢ | 43¢ | — | $348 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 87% | 85¢ | 87¢ | — | $177 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 goals scored | 19% | 20¢ | 23¢ | — | $68 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 goals scored | 50% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 goals scored | 0% | 14¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 0% | 95¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 0% | 75¢ | 77¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market trades the combined number of goals scored in the Carolina at Calgary game (the 'Total Points' outcome). It matters because totals compress many game factors—scoring form, goaltending, special teams, and lineup changes—into a single, tradeable question.
Carolina (Hurricanes) and Calgary (Flames) are NHL clubs whose matchup outcomes depend on recent form, roster availability, and goaltender decisions. Historical meetings between these teams can show trends (high- or low-scoring games), but each game is influenced by current injuries, schedule, and tactical adjustments. Market prices update as new information arrives (starter announcements, scratches, travel notices).
Market odds express the crowd’s consensus about which total-goals range is most likely, and they move when new information changes expectations. Treat prices as real-time signals, not guarantees; thin liquidity can make movements exaggerated.
The market's close is listed as TBD on the event page; final settlement normally occurs once the official game score is posted and the exchange applies its stated resolution rules. Check the contract description on KALSHI for exact close and settlement timing.
Settlement convention (regulation only vs. final score including overtime/shootout) depends on the specific contract wording on the event page; always confirm the settlement rules listed there before trading.
A confirmed starter typically moves expectations: an elite or struggling goalie changes likely goals allowed. Markets often react quickly to announced starts, so incorporate the starter’s recent goals-against trends and home/road splits when evaluating prices.
Eight outcomes usually represent discrete total-goal ranges or bins (for example, different intervals of combined goals). More bins provide finer choices but split liquidity across outcomes; monitor how neighboring bins move to infer shifts in market consensus.
Fatigue from back-to-back games, long travel across time zones, or extended road trips can reduce a team’s offensive output and defensive sharpness. Consider each team’s most recent days off, travel itinerary, and whether they are on a long homestand or road trip when assessing expected totals.