| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0 | 87% | 80¢ | 90¢ | — | $142 | Trade → |
| Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-1 | 22% | 8¢ | 21¢ | — | $40 | Trade → |
| Arthur Rinderknech wins 2-0 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arthur Rinderknech wins 2-1 | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to pick the exact final match score for Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech, a proposition that pays out only if the reported set-by-set score matches the chosen outcome. Exact-score markets are higher variance than winner markets because they require a precise outcome, making them useful for traders who want to express a detailed view on how the match will unfold.
Carlos Alcaraz is a top-ranked player known for aggressive baseline play and strong movement; Arthur Rinderknech is a powerful server and net-capable competitor who can extend points and force pressure. Their matchup dynamics—style contrast, recent form, and the tournament context—shape likely scorelines. Tournament format (best-of-three vs best-of-five), court surface, and scheduling also affect possible set counts and therefore which exact scores are plausible.
Market prices reflect how traders collectively value each specific scoreline at a given time and will move as new information arrives (injury reports, lineups, weather, in-play developments). Use the market as a real-time aggregation of sentiment, not as an absolute forecast of certainty.
The close time is listed on the event page and may be set to close at match start or at a specific pre-match time; check the event page for the current close time since it can be updated and is marked TBD until finalized.
A winning outcome must match the official set-by-set score as reported by the tournament organizers (for example, set scores in order). Tie-break scores are typically included only insofar as they affect the set score notation; consult the platform’s settlement rules for exact formatting requirements.
Settlement follows the official match result published by the tournament and the platform’s settlement policy. If the official record shows a retirement or abandonment, the market will be settled according to how that final official score maps to the listed outcome options; if none match, the platform’s dispute/settlement rules apply.
In-play trading availability is indicated on the event page. If in-play trading is enabled, prices will update during the match to reflect evolving probabilities; however, the final settlement still depends on the official final score once the match concludes.
Key items to watch are official injury or withdrawal notices, announced court surface and session (day/night), recent match length and recovery time for both players, any warm-up or practice reports, and the tournament format (best-of-three vs best-of-five), since these affect which scorelines are realistic.