| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $692K | Trade → |
| Ilya Ivashka | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $507K | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the tennis match titled "Caniato vs Ivashka." It matters for tournament progression and reflects how the market aggregates expectations about the matchup.
The event pits two touring professionals against each other; factors such as recent match load, injury status, and playing surface tend to shape the competitive balance. Tournament level and round also change the stakes — early-round matches often carry different incentives and fatigue considerations than later rounds.
Market prices represent the consensus of traders and update as new information arrives; they are real-time signals rather than guarantees. Use them alongside match-specific information (injuries, surface, schedule) when forming your view.
The closing time is set by the platform and often aligns with the official match start or a platform-specified cutoff; this event currently lists the close time as TBD, so check the Kalshi event page or official tournament schedule for the exact cutoff before trading.
The two tradable outcomes correspond to which player wins the match: a Caniato win or an Ivashka win. Settlement will be based on the official match result reported by the tournament and Kalshi’s settlement rules.
Pre-match withdrawals or injury reports, changes to start time or court assignment, official lineup confirmations, weather impacts for outdoor matches, and live score developments are the most market-moving updates.
Head-to-head and recent results are useful context but should be weighted considering surface, sample size, and timing; a single past meeting or a short hot streak is typically less informative than sustained performance under similar conditions.
Settlement follows Kalshi’s official policies: markets may be suspended, delayed, or voided depending on whether an official result is produced within the platform’s specified timeframe. Verify Kalshi’s cancellation, suspension, and no-contest rules on the event page.