| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Rico | 0% | 1¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Canada | 0% | 1¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 1¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market settles on which team—Canada or Puerto Rico—or a tie is ahead after the first five innings of their game. It matters because starting pitchers, early lineup matchups, and in-game strategy have outsized effects on this short window.
Canada and Puerto Rico are established international baseball programs; rosters for games like this often mix major-league-affiliated players, minor-leaguers, and domestic pros, and depth can vary by series or tournament. In a first-5-innings market the starting pitchers and the top of each batting order typically drive results, while late-game bullpen decisions and extra-inning scoring are irrelevant to the settlement.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective read on who will be leading (or tied) after five innings and update as lineup, starter, and weather information becomes public. Use price movement as a signal of how new information is being interpreted rather than a fixed forecast.
The market is resolved using the score as of the end of the fifth inning: the team leading at that point wins, and an exact tie is the separate tie outcome. Only runs scored in those five innings matter for settlement.
Close timing is set by the market operator; for first-5-innings markets it commonly closes at or just before first pitch, but you should confirm the specific close time on the market page or rulebook.
Watch the confirmed starting pitchers for both teams, the published starting lineups (especially the top three hitters), and any late scratches or bullpen usage notes released in the hour before first pitch.
Resolution procedures depend on the platform’s contract rules; common approaches are to use the score at the last completed inning if the game is shortened or to void the market if the required innings aren’t completed—check the market’s rules on the exchange for this event.
Historical matchups can provide context on tendencies (e.g., how each team starts games), but immediate factors—current starters, lineups, ballpark, and recent form—usually have stronger influence on a single first-5-innings outcome.