| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie wins 2-1 | 16% | 2¢ | 13¢ | — | $222 | Trade → |
| Alex de Minaur wins 2-1 | 28% | 15¢ | 28¢ | — | $91 | Trade → |
| Cameron Norrie wins 2-0 | 0% | 7¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex de Minaur wins 2-0 | 0% | 55¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which exact final scoreline will decide the match between Cameron Norrie and Alex de Minaur; exact-score markets matter because they require predicting set-by-set outcomes, not just the match winner.
Norrie and de Minaur are established tour players with contrasting styles—Norrie typically uses heavy flat hitting and strategic serving patterns, while de Minaur relies on speed, defense, and counterpunching. Their previous meetings, recent tour schedule, and the tournament surface all shape expectations for how the match might unfold.
Market prices reflect collective trader expectations about which precise scoreline will occur; they update as new information (injuries, form, weather, live progress) becomes available but do not guarantee results.
The market contains four outcomes corresponding to each player winning in straight sets and in three sets (Norrie 2-0, Norrie 2-1, de Minaur 2-0, de Minaur 2-1).
The listed close time is TBD; typically the market closes at or shortly before the official match start or when the platform specifies a halt—check the event page on KALSHI for live closure information.
Settlement follows the platform's rules: many exact-score markets require a completed match to settle to a scoreline; if the match is not completed due to walkover, abandonment, or early retirement, the operator's outage or voiding policy will determine settlement—review KALSHI's event rules for specifics.
A withdrawal before market closure typically leads to voiding or cancellation under platform rules; if traders still have positions when an injury or withdrawal is announced after closure, settlement will follow the operator's announced policies, so monitor official updates closely.
Key indicators include early breaks of serve, first-set winner and scoreline, visible movement or medical issues, changeable weather or lighting conditions, and official in-match announcements—these factors can quickly change the likelihood of a straight-sets vs three-set result.