| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 48% | 46¢ | 48¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| California wins by over 1.5 Points | 35% | 34¢ | 39¢ | — | $248 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 5.5 Points | 41% | 42¢ | 47¢ | — | $197 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 2.5 Points | 59% | 52¢ | 58¢ | — | $82 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 4.5 Points | 24% | 22¢ | 29¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 8.5 Points | 28% | 32¢ | 36¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 29¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 55¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 20¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 15¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 34¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 23¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell discrete outcomes on the point spread for the college football game California at Florida St.; it matters because spread markets aggregate expectations about the game's margin of victory and provide a way to express nuanced views on how close the game will be.
Florida State is the home team, so home-field factors such as travel from California, time-zone differences, and local conditions can influence the expected margin. The two programs may have different styles (tempo, run/pass balance, defensive schemes) that create specific matchup advantages. This market offers many discrete spread bins (24 outcomes) and will settle based on the official final score under the market's rules; closing time is listed as TBD.
Each outcome corresponds to a range of final margins; market prices reflect the collective expectation of which margin bin will occur rather than a single-point forecast. Traders update prices as new information arrives (injuries, lineup announcements, weather, etc.).
Each outcome is a predefined point-margin bin covering a specific range of final score differentials; the market page shows the exact boundaries for each bin and settlement goes to the bin that contains the official margin.
The market settles after the game ends using the official final score reported by the game's official scorer or the league's authoritative scoreboard as specified in the market rules.
Late injuries typically cause rapid price adjustments as traders incorporate the new information; the settlement mechanism itself remains based on the official final score, but pregame prices can move significantly in response to such news.
Overtime outcomes are included because settlement uses the official final score; if a game is shortened, settlement follows the market's stated rules and the official final score at the time play is declared complete.
Head-to-head history provides context, but prioritize current-season form, roster changes, matchup-specific statistics (e.g., rush/pass efficiency), and recent coaching strategies—those factors usually have greater immediate impact on the spread.