| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York R wins by over 1.5 goals | 33% | 31¢ | 34¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| New York R wins by over 2.5 goals | 18% | 19¢ | 24¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals | 24% | 24¢ | 28¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| Calgary wins by over 2.5 goals | 14% | 14¢ | 17¢ | — | $21 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread range the final margin will fall into for the NHL game Calgary at New York R. It matters for traders who want to trade on expected margin of victory rather than just the winner.
Calgary and New York R are NHL teams whose matchup outcomes depend on recent form, roster availability, and game context such as home ice at Madison Square Garden and travel for the visiting club. Historical head-to-head trends and each team's style of play (offense-first vs. defense-first) provide useful context, but season-long standings and short-term injuries often shift expectations quickly.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation of participants about which margin-range outcome will occur and will move as new information (starting goalies, injuries, rest, weather) becomes available. Treat prices as a real-time synthesis of information, not a fixed prediction.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific margin-range for the final score (for example, ranges favoring New York, close games, or favoring Calgary); the precise labels and numeric boundaries are shown on the market page and determine which single outcome pays out after the game.
Close time is listed as TBD; typically the market will close at or shortly before the scheduled puck drop unless the creator sets a different deadline. Settlement occurs after the official final score is confirmed by the league; if the game is postponed or rescheduled the market may be adjusted or paused according to platform rules.
A late goalie change is high-impact news that usually moves spread prices significantly because it alters expected goals against; such updates are incorporated by traders as soon as they are public, but settlement still relies on the official final score.
Settlement uses the official final score as recorded by the league. How overtime or shootout outcomes are reflected in the margin can vary by sport and platform rules, so check the KALSHI market page or rulebook for the exact treatment for this market.
Monitor confirmed starting goalies, any late scratches/injury reports, travel and rest (especially for Calgary), line combinations and special-teams reports, and official game start time; these items most directly affect expected margin and market movement.