| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cal Poly wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cal Poly wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 9¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 30¢ | 54¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 46¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 17¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UC San Diego wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cal Poly wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 8¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cal Poly wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 13¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the first-half point spread the Cal Poly vs UC San Diego game will fall into, focusing only on scoring through the first two quarters. First-half markets matter for traders who want to isolate early-game dynamics like starting lineups and opening strategies.
Cal Poly and UC San Diego are NCAA Division I programs that have met multiple times; matchups between nearby schools often feature familiar coaching adjustments and roster overlap that can affect early-game tempo. Because rosters, injuries, and coaching staffs change over time, historical results provide context but must be weighed against current-season information.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation about which first-half spread outcome is most likely and update as new information arrives. Treat prices as a real-time signal to be combined with independent research on lineups, injuries, and game conditions.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; the market will typically close before game start and settle based on the official halftime score as published by the game's official scorer. Check the market page for the exact close and settlement statements once they are posted.
The outcome is determined by the point differential at official halftime (end of the second quarter). Settlement uses the official halftime score; points scored after halftime (including overtime) do not affect this market.
Resolution of an exact tie depends on the market's outcome structure and the platform's rule set: some markets include a discrete 'push' outcome, others refund or settle per predefined rules. Consult the specific market terms posted on the KALSHI event page for how ties are handled.
Watch each team's primary ball-handler and top scorers (who generate early points), key perimeter shooters (who can change spacing and scoring runs), interior rebounders/shot blockers (who affect second-chance points and pace), and any bench player known for scoring bursts off the first unit.
Historical first-half trends can reveal tendencies like which team starts faster or typical scoring patterns, but their predictive value is limited by roster turnover, coaching changes, and small sample sizes. Use historical data as one input alongside current-season metrics, injury reports, and lineup news.