| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier de Ridder by Submission | 9% | 7¢ | 9¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Caio Borralho by KO/TKO/DQ | 21% | 17¢ | 21¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Reinier de Ridder by Decision | 16% | 14¢ | 16¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Reinier de Ridder by KO/TKO/DQ | 7% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Caio Borralho by Submission | 7% | 5¢ | 7¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Caio Borralho by Decision | 41% | 40¢ | 41¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Draw | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $140 | Trade → |
This market lets traders speculate on the method by which Caio Borralho or Reinier de Ridder will win their bout. Method-of-victory markets matter because they highlight expectations about each fighter's strengths (finishing ability, submissions, decisions) rather than just who will win.
Borralho and de Ridder are established competitors whose contrasting skill sets and fight histories make the method of victory a meaningful way to parse matchup dynamics. The market reflects how participants weigh grappling versus striking matchups, camp reports, and recent performances leading into the fight.
Odds in this market reflect collective expectations about how the fight will end and will change as new information (injury news, weigh-ins, fight week reports) arrives. Interpret prices as the market’s current consensus on likely finishing methods, not as fixed predictions.
The market lists separate outcomes for each fighter winning by KO/TKO, submission, or decision, plus a market outcome for draw/no contest — seven total outcomes corresponding to those categories for both fighters and a draw/no-contest option.
If judges render a winner, the market settles to the ‘Decision’ outcome for that named fighter according to the event’s official result as announced by the promotion and commission.
Most promotions classify corner retirements and doctor stoppages as TKO; markets typically use the promotion’s official result to determine whether the outcome is KO/TKO, submission, decision, or no contest.
Resolution follows the platform’s rules: if the scheduled pairing does not take place, markets are often suspended and either voided or adjusted depending on whether an official replacement is recognized and how the platform handles lineup changes. Check the specific exchange rules for settlement policy.
Watch official weigh-in results, pre-fight injury reports, corner or coaching changes, walkout/conditioning visuals, and any late news on gameplans — these items materially affect likelihoods for KO/TKO vs. submission vs. decision in this specific matchup.