| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 Points | 53% | 51¢ | 53¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| BYU wins by over 5.5 Points | 30% | 26¢ | 30¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| BYU wins by over 2.5 Points | 41% | 36¢ | 41¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 Points | 18% | 18¢ | 22¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 Points | 41% | 39¢ | 41¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| BYU wins by over 11.5 Points | 13% | 11¢ | 13¢ | — | $307 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 13.5 Points | 15% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $275 | Trade → |
| BYU wins by over 8.5 Points | 20% | 18¢ | 21¢ | — | $143 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 Points | 33% | 26¢ | 32¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 16.5 Points | 6% | 6¢ | 11¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| BYU wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which spread interval will match the final margin of the BYU at Cincinnati college football game; it matters because it aggregates market expectations about how closely contested the game will be.
BYU (Cougars) and Cincinnati (Bearcats) are FBS programs that have recently overlapped conference memberships, producing a competitive matchup with differing offensive styles. Historical meetings between the two are limited, so game-day factors like starting quarterbacks, injuries, and home-field in Cincinnati often drive outcomes; the market’s traded volume reflects current liquidity and interest.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s evolving expectations for the game’s margin of victory across discrete spread intervals; wider-priced outcomes indicate less consensus and will update in real time as new information arrives.
The event page lists the close as TBD; typically spread markets close at or shortly before the official game start, but check the KALSHI event page for the definitive close time and any last-minute updates.
The winning outcome is determined by the official final margin of victory as recorded in the game’s box score; consult KALSHI’s event rules to confirm whether the market settles to the final score including overtime or only regulation.
Resolution in those scenarios depends on KALSHI’s stated contingency rules—markets are often voided or settled based on official determinations if no final result occurs within a platform-specified timeframe, so review the event’s terms for specifics.
Each of the 11 outcomes corresponds to a specific range of possible final margins (spread intervals); the event page on KALSHI lists the exact margin ranges assigned to each outcome.
Monitor the starting quarterbacks and their protection, Cincinnati’s defensive front versus BYU’s offensive line, third-down defenses and pass rush matchups, plus special teams units—these elements are most likely to change the expected margin.