| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dortmund | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| FC Cologne | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| St. Pauli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frankfurt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hoffenheim | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leipzig | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wolfsburg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bremen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leverkusen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Augsburg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stuttgart | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Freiburg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Union Berlin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mainz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| M´gladbach | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hamburg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Heidenheim | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which Bundesliga club(s) will be relegated during the relevant season and aggregates trader expectations about relegation outcomes. It matters because relegation has major sporting and financial consequences for clubs and is a focal point for season-long betting and hedging.
The Bundesliga is Germany’s top professional league and fields 18 clubs in the top division. Traditionally the bottom two finishers are relegated directly to 2. Bundesliga and the 16th-placed team enters a two-leg playoff with the third-placed 2. Bundesliga team; final standings and playoff results determine ultimate relegation. Season fixtures, injuries, transfers, managerial changes and occasional administrative rulings have historically shaped tight relegation battles.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of participants about which clubs will finish in relegation positions and update as new information arrives. Treat prices as a live signal of perceived risk rather than a fixed prediction, and check the market rules for how outcomes are mapped to specific league results.
Each outcome corresponds to one of the 18 Bundesliga clubs and represents that club’s relegation status as defined by the market rules (typically whether it ends the season relegated or in the relegation playoff). Check the market description for the precise mapping.
If the close is TBD, resolution usually occurs after the final match day and any subsequent relegation playoff finishes, per the market’s stated resolution criteria; consult the market terms for the exact trigger (e.g., official league table publication or playoff completion).
Resolution follows the official Bundesliga tiebreakers used by the DFL—typically goal difference, then goals scored, and any further official steps—so markets resolve according to the league’s published final standings and official rulings.
Yes. Administrative decisions that alter official standings or lead to enforced relegation affect market resolution; the market will follow the league’s or governing body’s official determination once finalized.
Monitor the official league table, upcoming fixtures and venue, injury reports, transfer activity, managerial announcements, and any federation or court rulings; live match results and playoff outcomes are especially important near season end.