| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 151.5 points scored | 57% | 52¢ | 57¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| Over 148.5 points scored | 63% | 58¢ | 63¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Over 169.5 points scored | 0% | 13¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 154.5 points scored | 0% | 48¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 163.5 points scored | 0% | 25¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 139.5 points scored | 0% | 75¢ | 82¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 160.5 points scored | 0% | 31¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 166.5 points scored | 0% | 18¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 157.5 points scored | 0% | 38¢ | 44¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 142.5 points scored | 0% | 71¢ | 77¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 145.5 points scored | 0% | 65¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which total combined points range the Buffalo at Toledo game will finish in. It matters because total-points markets let traders express views on game scoring rather than which team wins.
Market prices reflect collective expectations built from team scoring trends, matchup history, injuries, weather, and game importance. Relevant context includes each team's recent offensive and defensive performance, any known roster changes, and whether the game is played indoors or outdoors.
In this context, market prices indicate how traders currently value each total-points bucket relative to others and update as new information arrives; use them as a real-time signal to compare against your own scoring model or information.
The market close time is set by the platform (listed as TBD here); the winning outcome is determined after the official final combined score is posted and according to the event’s resolution rules—check the KALSHI contract page for exact timing and settlement policy.
They represent discrete point-range buckets for the combined final score (for example, successive intervals covering the full possible score range). The single bucket that contains the official combined score at settlement is the winning outcome—see the contract details for the exact boundaries.
Whether overtime counts depends on this market’s specific resolution rules. Some contracts use regulation time only while others include overtime; confirm the rule on the KALSHI event page before trading.
Loss of a starting quarterback or primary scorer typically has the largest impact, followed by key offensive linemen, top defensive playmakers (who affect opponent scoring), and any absence of a special-teams kicker in close games; coach or coordinator changes announced shortly before the game can also move expectations.
Price moves incorporate traders’ reactions to new information and reflect changing consensus expectations for scoring; treat rapid moves as signals to re-evaluate your assumptions, verify official reports, and compare the market’s updated view with your own forecast before adjusting positions.