| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Liverpool | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brighton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will be leading at the end of the first 45 minutes (Brighton, Liverpool, or a draw). First-half outcomes matter because they reflect immediate match dynamics and create different trading and hedging opportunities than full-match markets.
Brighton and Liverpool have contrasting tactical identities—Brighton often builds patiently and attacks through wide areas while Liverpool typically presses high and looks to score early. Historical head-to-heads and each team’s recent first-half patterns (goals scored and conceded early) provide useful context; pre-match news about starting XIs and tactical setup is especially relevant for this market.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about who will be leading at the referee’s half-time whistle; price movements usually react to lineup announcements, injuries, and tactical updates rather than long-term season narratives.
The listed close time is TBD on the exchange—check the KALSHI market page for the official close. The market settles to the official score at the referee’s half-time whistle (including any added time) according to the platform’s settlement rules.
The outcomes are: Brighton leading at half-time, Liverpool leading at half-time, or the first half being a draw (scores level at half-time).
Yes. The first-half result is determined by the score at the referee’s whistle for half-time, which includes any stoppage/added time played in that half.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s official market rules for this event. Typically, if the match does not reach the specified settlement point (the end of the first half), markets may be voided and funds returned—confirm the exact policy on the platform.
Such events can materially change market sentiment and prices prior to market close. However, settlement is determined solely by the official half-time score; trades executed before close remain binding and are not altered by subsequent events.