| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins by over 1.5 goals | 19% | 17¢ | 19¢ | — | $18 | Trade → |
| Bremen wins by over 1.5 goals | 11% | 11¢ | 13¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Union Berlin wins by over 2.5 goals | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Bremen wins by over 2.5 goals | 2% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread-range outcome will apply to the Bremen at Union Berlin match; it matters to traders who want to express views about the likely margin between the two sides rather than the simple winner. Spread markets help isolate expected goal differences and can move quickly on team news and in-game events.
Werder Bremen and Union Berlin are Bundesliga clubs with distinct styles—Union typically has a strong home atmosphere while Bremen often emphasizes transitional play. Spread markets like this one partition possible final margins into mutually exclusive outcomes so traders can take positions on how close or lopsided the match will be. The market on KALSHI currently shows four possible outcomes and remains open until the platform or market creator sets a close time (TBD).
Market odds are a real-time aggregation of participants' beliefs about which spread outcome will occur; they should be read as the market consensus at a moment in time, not as certainties. Prices will change as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, in-game events) arrives.
Each of the four outcomes corresponds to a specific, mutually exclusive range of final goal margin between Bremen and Union Berlin as defined by the market contract; check the contract description on KALSHI for the exact margin breakpoints used to partition the outcomes.
The market close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI markets typically close before kickoff or at a time specified by the market creator. The winning outcome is settled after the match concludes and the official final score is confirmed by the data source specified in the contract.
Low reported volume indicates limited liquidity, meaning prices may move sharply on small trades and it could be difficult to scale in or out of positions without impacting the price; consider liquidity constraints before trading.
Key triggers include confirmed starting lineups and late absences, major injuries in warmups, red cards or penalties during the game, weather that affects play, and any official announcements about postponement or abandonment; each can materially change expected margins.
Settlement for such contingencies follows the rules in the market contract on KALSHI; typically outcomes are settled based on the official match result or the platform’s stated procedures for postponed/abandoned games, so review the contract terms to understand exactly how exceptional cases are handled.