| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brazil wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brazil wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Italy wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the run spread will hold after the first five innings of the Brazil vs Italy game. It matters because first-five markets focus on starting pitching and early offense, offering a different risk profile than full-game bets.
Brazil vs Italy is an international baseball matchup where rosters often include a mix of domestic players and expatriates; head-to-head history between these teams is limited, so recent roster announcements and starting pitcher choices carry outsized weight. Tournament context, travel, and how each federation constructs its roster (MLB-affiliated pitchers vs. local professionals) also influence early-inning expectations.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of which spread outcome is most likely after the fifth inning and will move as new, event-specific information arrives (lineups, confirmed starters, weather). Read prices as a summary of market sentiment, not fixed predictions.
The market is settled based on the official score after the completion of five innings (or the home team leading after 4½ if the home team is ahead and rules specify). Check the market's official rules page for the precise settlement convention used here.
This market typically closes before the game's first pitch or at the official start time listed on the market page. The exact close time will be posted on the event page and may update if the game start shifts.
The market operator divided possible run-differential outcomes into four mutually exclusive buckets (e.g., spreads favoring one side, the other side, or tie-range buckets). The specific bucket definitions are shown on the market page; review them to understand exactly what each outcome covers.
Announcements that change the scheduled starting pitcher, major lineup alterations (especially the top three hitters), or late scratches to power hitters are the most impactful for a first-five-innings spread market.
If the game is postponed or rescheduled, the market operator will follow its event rules (which may suspend trading, roll to the new start time, or cancel the market). If the game is shortened and the league's official scoring rules do not produce a five-inning result, settlement will follow the operator's stated rules—check the market's FAQ or rulebook for specifics.