| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 24.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market trades on the first-half point spread between Boston and Memphis, letting participants express expectations about which team will lead or by how many points at intermission. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and react quickly to starting lineups and in-game events.
The market focuses on the opening 24 minutes of a scheduled Boston vs Memphis matchup; outcomes reflect different first-half margin ranges. Historical matchups, team styles (tempo, offensive/defensive strengths), and recent form all shape expectations, while day-of factors like rest, travel, and injuries commonly shift market pricing. Because the market closes before or around game start, it captures pregame information and anticipates in-game dynamics through live updates.
Market prices indicate how traders collectively view likely first-half outcomes and how willing they are to buy or sell particular spread ranges. Changes in price reflect new public information (lineup news, injury reports, coach decisions) rather than fixed predictions, so interpret prices as dynamic consensus of probability and risk appetite rather than guarantees.
This market resolves based on the official score at the end of the first half of the scheduled Boston vs Memphis game. Exact resolution timing and any exceptions depend on the exchange's settlement rules and the official game clock.
The market is divided into ten discrete first-half spread outcomes representing different margin intervals; each outcome corresponds to a particular range of point differentials at halftime rather than a single final score.
Publicized changes to starting lineups or late injury news typically move prices quickly because they change expected matchups and scoring load; traders often respond before tip-off, so pregame announcements can materially shift which first-half spread outcomes are priced higher or lower.
If the platform supports live trading, prices will usually react in real time to major early-game events; outcomes favoring the team disadvantaged by the event will typically decline, while outcomes favoring the opposing team will often strengthen, reflecting updated expectations for the remainder of the half.
Resolution in those scenarios depends on the platform's official rules: some markets are voided if the first half is not completed, while others follow predefined settlement procedures using the last official score or administrative decisions. Check KALSHI's event resolution policy for the definitive outcome.