| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether at least one run will be scored during the first inning of the Boston vs Cincinnati game. It matters because first-inning scoring is a short-timeframe outcome that reacts quickly to starting-player news and in-game conditions.
First-inning run markets hinge largely on the starting pitchers, the top of the batting order, and immediate game conditions; roster decisions announced close to first pitch can shift expectations. Ballpark factors, weather, and recent form for the teams’ leadoff hitters or starters provide useful background context when assessing this specific matchup.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s collective expectation about whether at least one run will score in the first inning and will move as new information (lineups, scratches, weather, pitcher changes) becomes available. Use prices as a real-time signal rather than a fixed prediction, and check the exchange’s resolution rules for final settlement.
The market resolves based on whether at least one run is officially recorded in the first inning (top or bottom) of the game according to the official game score and box score used by the exchange.
Resolution follows the exchange’s published rules and the official MLB scorekeeper/box score that the exchange cites; the official game record after any replay or scoring adjustments is used.
If the first inning is not completed, settlement depends on the exchange’s contingency rules—markets are commonly voided or settled according to the platform’s stated policy; check the KALSHI listing for the specific handling of postponements and suspensions.
Yes—final resolution follows the official game record after replay and scoring decisions, not the immediately observed on-field event.
Monitor the confirmed starting pitchers and any late scratches, the posted lineup and batter order, weather/wind updates at the ballpark, and any announcements about unconventional strategies (e.g., opener usage or early bullpen plans).