| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many combined runs Boston and Cincinnati will score in the first five innings of their scheduled game. Early-inning totals matter because they reflect starting-pitcher performance and initial offensive strategy, which many traders use to express views on pitching matchups and game tempo.
The event covers a specific scheduled game between the Boston and Cincinnati clubs; these matchups can occur during regular-season interleague play, spring training, or postseason depending on the calendar. Historical context for similar markets shows early-inning outcomes are often driven by the announced starters, lineup construction, and managerial willingness to attack or protect pitchers in short outings.
Market prices represent the crowd’s view of which total-run outcome is most likely for innings 1–5; odds should be interpreted as relative market sentiment, not guarantees. Because prices move as new information arrives (lineups, weather, late scratches), they reflect changing assessments up to market close.
It covers innings 1 through 5 inclusive; only runs scored while the game is in those innings are counted toward the market outcome.
Settlement depends on the official game status: if the contest does not reach completion of the fifth inning, the market is typically voided or held pending official completion per the exchange’s rules; consult the market rules for final determinations.
Key details include each starter’s expected pitch count and expected length, recent run prevention, groundball/flyball profile, strikeout and walk rates, and reverse splits against opposing lineup strength in the top of the order.
Wind direction, temperature, and humidity influence ball carry and run scoring; smaller fences or strong evening winds can boost early scoring, while cold or wind-against conditions tend to suppress it.
The seven outcomes correspond to discrete run totals or ranges for combined Boston and Cincinnati runs in innings 1–5; after the fifth inning, the official MLB scorekeeper’s run total for those innings is used to determine which single outcome is the settled winner.