| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will cover the run spread over the first five innings of the Boston vs Cincinnati game. It matters because early-game run differentials capture starting-pitcher matchups and initial lineup performance, which are distinct from full-game outcomes.
Boston and Cincinnati are Major League Baseball clubs whose early-inning profiles can differ substantially from their full-game performance. Year-to-year roster changes, rotation schedules, and ballpark characteristics all affect short-window markets like a first-five-innings spread. Historical head-to-head results can provide context but are secondary to that night's announced starters and lineups.
Market prices reflect traders' collective read on whether Boston or Cincinnati will be ahead by more or fewer runs than the posted first-five spread; prices update as new information (lineups, starters, weather) becomes available. Treat odds as a dynamic summary of available evidence rather than a fixed prediction.
Settlement is based on the official run differential as recorded after the conclusion of the first five innings of the scheduled game, using the league's official scorekeeping. Only runs scored in those innings count toward the spread outcome.
The market closes at the time specified on the platform (currently listed as TBD for this event). Settlement occurs after five completed innings of the scheduled game; check the platform for the exact close time and any last-minute updates.
Watch the announced starting pitchers, official lineup cards, any late scratches, bullpen travel/rest notes, and weather alerts. Early-inning splits for the scheduled starters and top-of-order hitters are especially informative.
If the game does not reach the five-inning point, settlement typically follows the platform's rules for incomplete events (often void or based on resumption). If the game is resumed and five innings are completed later, settlement will use the official score at that five-inning mark. Consult the platform's contingency rules for specifics.
The four outcomes correspond to the distinct ways the posted first-five spread can be resolved (for example, each side covering or failing to cover particular margin bands). For exact wording and the settlement condition tied to each outcome, refer to the market page's outcome descriptions.