| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City wins by over 4.5 Points | 48% | 57¢ | 59¢ | — | $462 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 7.5 Points | 46% | 45¢ | 47¢ | — | $348 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 22.5 Points | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Boston wins by over 5.5 Points | 22% | 12¢ | 22¢ | — | $43 | Trade → |
| Boston wins by over 2.5 Points | 29% | 19¢ | 30¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 10.5 Points | 44% | 32¢ | 42¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 23¢ | 34¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 15¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 62¢ | 73¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 12¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how large the point-margin outcome will be when the Boston team plays at Oklahoma City, using spread-based outcome brackets. It matters because the spread captures market expectations about relative team strength and in-game factors that determine the margin of victory.
Boston and Oklahoma City have contrasting styles: Boston tends to emphasize defense, structure, and veteran execution, while Oklahoma City often features a younger, faster lineup with high-paced offense and three-point creation. Home-court, recent form, and roster availability have historically shaped outcomes between these teams and will be central for this matchup.
Market prices in a spread market represent the collective expectation about which margin bracket the final score differential will fall into and will move as new information (injuries, rotations, rest) arrives. Because this market offers multiple spread outcomes, read each outcome's description to see which final point-differential range it corresponds to.
This spread market resolves to the outcome bracket that matches the official final point differential (Boston score minus Oklahoma City score) as recorded by the event operator; consult the market outcome descriptions to see the exact margin ranges used for resolution.
Yes — resolution uses the official final score as governed by the platform’s rules, which typically include overtime; check the market rules on KALSHI for any platform-specific exceptions.
Late roster changes can materially shift expectations about the likely margin; markets tend to react quickly to confirmed injury reports, rest decisions, and starting lineup announcements, so monitor official team communications and the market feed up to game time.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete spread brackets or margin ranges (for example, specific point-differential intervals) that partition all possible final margins; each outcome wins if the final official differential falls into its range.
Home-court can influence travel fatigue, crowd impact, and comfort with rhythm and pacing; in this matchup, Oklahoma City’s home environment and routine are a recurring factor markets incorporate, especially when combined with team-specific travel or rest circumstances.