| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bolt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andres Andrade | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which competitor—Bolt or Andrade—wins a planned head‑to‑head sporting contest. It matters because the market aggregates public information about the expected outcome and reacts to news that affects each athlete's chances.
The market references a direct matchup between two named athletes, with the specific sport, rule set, and scheduled date set by the event organizer and the KALSHI listing. Key contextual inputs include each athlete's recent form, prior head‑to‑head history (if any), and any weight/class or rule distinctions relevant to the contest; trading is open until the platform posts a closing time (currently TBD).
Market prices reflect aggregated trader expectations and update as new information (injuries, official announcements, weigh‑ins, etc.) arrives; they indicate market sentiment, not guarantees of an outcome.
Each outcome corresponds to one of the two named competitors winning the contest; because the market lists two outcomes, alternative resolutions (draws, ties) are not offered unless explicitly stated on the event page.
The market close is listed as TBD — check the KALSHI event page and official announcements for the definitive trading cutoff, which is typically tied to the event's scheduled start or an official pre‑event deadline.
Credible injury updates, official weigh‑in or medical results, confirmed schedule or rule changes, withdrawal or replacement announcements, and authoritative reports about training or last‑minute preparation.
Resolution follows KALSHI's published settlement rules for the event; depending on those rules, the market may be voided, postponed until a rescheduled date, or settled according to the organizer's official result—consult the platform's resolution policy for specifics.
Refer to the KALSHI event page for this listing and the contest organizer or promoter's official communications; those sources provide the confirmed sport, rule set, scheduled date/time, venue, and any last‑minute official changes that determine market settlement.