| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 40% | 39¢ | 40¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Bologna | 30% | 29¢ | 30¢ | — | $912 | Trade → |
| Tie | 32% | 30¢ | 32¢ | — | $205 | Trade → |
This market tracks the outcome of the Bologna vs Roma match, letting traders express expectations on which side will win or whether the game will end in a draw. It matters because market prices aggregate real-time information about team news, tactics, and situational factors that influence the final result.
Bologna and Roma are established Italian clubs whose meetings are shaped by squad composition, managerial approach, and competition context (league position, cup commitments, or European fixtures). Historical results and head-to-head records provide context but must be weighed against current-season form, injuries, and match location. Managerial tactics, squad depth, and short-term scheduling pressures often drive differences between past trends and the near-term outcome.
Market prices here reflect the consensus of participants at any given moment and move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, referee appointments). Use price changes as signals about what information the market is incorporating, not as guarantees of an outcome.
Close time is set by the event listing on KALSHI and is currently marked TBD; platforms commonly close trading at official kickoff or at a time specified on the market page, so check the event page for updates.
This is a standard three-way match market: Bologna win, Draw, and Roma win; settlement is based on the official full-time result unless the market page specifies otherwise.
Late team news typically moves the market materially—loss of a key starter or confirmation of a tactical lineup will be incorporated quickly by traders—so monitor official club communications and pre-match press conferences.
Head-to-head history offers useful pattern information (styles, recurring match dynamics) but is only one input; give greater weight to current-season form, injuries, venue, and recent tactical changes when forming expectations for this specific match.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules and the competition’s official result criteria; league matches normally settle on the official full-time score, postponements or abandonment may lead to voiding or resettlement per platform policy, and extra time is usually not applicable for regular league fixtures—check the event page and platform rules for the definitive procedure.