| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | 99% | 40¢ | 100¢ | — | $372 | Trade → |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | 21% | 0¢ | 44¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the first set in the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Jack Pinnington Jones. It matters for traders focused on short-term match outcomes and for fans tracking early-match momentum.
Benjamin Bonzi is an established tour-level player with experience on the ATP and Challenger circuits; Jack Pinnington Jones is a less-established contender whose profile may vary by surface and event level. Set-1 markets emphasize opening match dynamics—serve performance, early breaks, and nerves can swing a single set even if overall match expectations differ.
Market prices represent the aggregated view of traders about who will take the first set, reflecting current public information and recent updates. Use prices as a consensus signal alongside your own analysis; they are not guarantees.
It refers to which player wins the first official set of the match; if the set goes to a tiebreak, the tiebreak winner is the set winner.
This market offers two named outcomes: Benjamin Bonzi to win the first set or Jack Pinnington Jones to win the first set; consult the market page for any additional settlement rules.
Closing time is determined by the platform and the specific market listing; many set-1 markets close at or shortly before the start of the first set, so check the KALSHI market page for the official close time.
Resolution follows the platform’s rules: if the match does not start the market is often voided, while if the match begins the result of the completed first set (including tiebreaks) typically determines the winner—always confirm KALSHI’s official settlement policy.
Look at each player’s recent first-set win rate, serve-hold percentage in opening sets, break-point opportunities and conversion, head-to-head history on this surface, and any recent match fatigue or injury reports.