| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montserrat Rendon by KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draw | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montserrat Rendon by Submission | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montserrat Rendon by Decision | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beatriz Mesquita by Submission | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beatriz Mesquita by Decision | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beatriz Mesquita by KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the bout between Beatriz Mesquita and Montserrat Rendon will be decided by listing possible methods of victory; it matters because method markets let traders express views on stylistic matchups rather than just who wins.
Beatriz Mesquita is widely known for an elite submission-grappling pedigree, which often shapes expectations about fights she contests. Montserrat Rendon brings her own skill set and recent activity into the matchup; contrasting styles, recent performances, and rule set (grappling vs. MMA) are key contextual elements.
Market odds reflect the market’s collective expectation for each method of victory and will change as new information (weigh-ins, injuries, lineup updates, or public wagering) becomes available. Use odds as a directional signal about how the community is valuing each possible finish, not as a fixed prediction.
The market lists seven distinct resolution options: Mesquita wins by submission, Rendon wins by submission, Mesquita wins by decision, Rendon wins by decision, Mesquita wins by knockout/TKO, Rendon wins by knockout/TKO, and draw/no contest or other.
Mesquita’s elite submission credentials make submission outcomes a natural focal point for traders; if she can impose grappling exchanges, the market will typically reflect a higher expectation of submissions compared with two evenly matched strikers.
Because the close time is listed as TBD, expect the market to remain open until KALSHI posts a formal close — typically markets close before the start of the bout and often after official weigh-ins; check the platform for the announced final close time.
Common price drivers include official injury or withdrawal notices, missed weight, late changes to the opponent or rules, credible camp reports about gameplans, and real-time fight developments (e.g., early knockdown, visible injury) if the market supports live trading.
The market settles to the official method recorded by the event’s governing body or result feed; if the official result is a disqualification or no contest, the market will resolve to the outcome category that matches the official designation — if the contract doesn’t explicitly list that label, consult the market’s settlement rules on KALSHI for how such results are treated.