| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 11% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Baylor | 0% | 50¢ | 64¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. | 0% | 33¢ | 47¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading at halftime in the Baylor vs Arizona St. matchup. First-half markets focus on early-game performance and matter to traders who want exposure to short-term game dynamics rather than full-game outcomes.
Baylor (Bears) and Arizona State (Sun Devils) are programs from different conferences with distinct styles of play; historical matchups and program philosophies can shape how each team approaches the opening 30 minutes. First-half outcomes often reflect game script — starting lineups, opening play-calling, tempo and early turnovers — more than late-game adjustments or endurance.
Market odds on this page reflect the crowd’s assessment of which side is likely to be leading at halftime and will move as new information arrives (injury reports, starting lineups, weather, etc.). Treat the displayed prices as a dynamic summary of available information and sentiment, not a fixed prediction.
The outcome is determined by the official halftime score as recorded by the game’s governing body; the team leading at the end of the first half wins the corresponding outcome. If the score is tied at halftime, the market’s tie outcome wins according to the exchange’s settlement data.
The three outcomes correspond to Baylor leading at halftime, Arizona State leading at halftime, and the score being tied at halftime. Only the halftime score matters for settlement.
This market’s close time is set by the exchange and appears on the market page; trading typically stops at the published close or immediately before game start. If the close is listed as TBD, monitor the market page or exchange notices for the final trading window and any updates.
Early injuries, surprise lineup changes, or strategic substitutions can materially change the first-half outlook; such events usually prompt rapid price movement as traders incorporate the new information. Keep an eye on official team reports and live updates in the lead-up to kickoff.
Resolution depends on the exchange’s settlement rules: typically, if play never reaches an official halftime, the market may be voided and trades refunded, or the exchange may use the official record if the game is resumed later. Check KALSHI’s settlement policy on the market page for the definitive rule for this event.