| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston wins by over 15.5 Points | 48% | 47¢ | 48¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 12.5 Points | 59% | 58¢ | 59¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 9.5 Points | 75% | 68¢ | 72¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 18.5 Points | 35% | 35¢ | 38¢ | — | $466 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 3.5 Points | 90% | 86¢ | 89¢ | — | $444 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 6.5 Points | 82% | 79¢ | 81¢ | — | $310 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 21.5 Points | 25% | 26¢ | 29¢ | — | $302 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 30.5 Points | 5% | 5¢ | 11¢ | — | $132 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 27.5 Points | 18% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $125 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 24.5 Points | 24% | 17¢ | 22¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome for the Baylor at Houston game, providing a real-time aggregation of expectations about which team will cover. It matters because spread markets incorporate injury news, lineup announcements, and other information faster than many traditional lines.
Baylor and Houston are NCAA FBS programs whose matchups are evaluated through stylistic contrasts (tempo, run/pass balance) and recent seasonal form. Historical head-to-head results and each program's performance in similar matchups help shape pregame expectations, while late-breaking developments (injuries, weather, coaching decisions) can shift market prices quickly.
In a spread market, prices indicate how traders are allocating risk across possible point-margin outcomes; movement reflects new information or shifts in sentiment. Use the market as a dynamic indicator of consensus expectations rather than a definitive prediction.
The listing shows the close time as TBD; check the KALSHI market page for final close updates and any announcements from the exchange.
The market is split into 10 discrete spread outcomes representing different point-margin ranges; traders buy shares of the specific range they expect the final margin to fall into.
Volume reflects cumulative dollars traded and indicates liquidity and market interest; higher volume generally means tighter prices and greater confidence that prices incorporate diverse information.
A late injury typically shifts market prices toward outcomes favoring the other team as traders update expectations for on-field performance; the magnitude of the shift depends on the injured player’s role and the quality of available replacements.
Home environment can impact the spread through crowd noise, travel fatigue for the visitor, and familiarity with the playing surface; markets usually price a home-field edge, but the exact effect depends on team-specific home/away records and matchup context.