| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 0% | 4¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky | 0% | 50¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express which team will win the Ball State vs Kentucky matchup. It matters because market prices aggregate real‑time information about injuries, lineups, and other game‑specific developments.
Ball State (a Mid‑American Conference program) and Kentucky (an SEC program) come from different conference contexts and resources; non‑conference matchups between programs like these are common and can produce predictable outcomes or surprising upsets. Historical head‑to‑head frequency may be low, so each meeting is influenced heavily by current rosters, coaching staffs, and the season context rather than long series history.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of traders about the game outcome and will move as new information arrives (injuries, official starting lineups, weather, coaching announcements). Treat the market as a dynamic signal that updates with verifiable event news rather than a static forecast.
The market lists two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to each team winning the contest; consult the contract description on KALSHI for the precise settlement condition (for example, how ties or technical outcomes are handled).
The market close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close and settlement details. Settlement is typically based on the official final result reported by the governing body or certified game source, per KALSHI’s rules.
Last‑minute injuries change available information and usually prompt rapid price adjustments as traders react; the impact depends on the injured player’s role, the expected replacement, and how that alters matchup dynamics.
A $0 volume reading means no trades have been executed yet; it does not determine future activity. Low volume can make current prices more sensitive to individual trades, so monitor liquidity and order book depth before assuming stability.
Settlement rules vary by platform; in most cases KALSHI will settle based on the official final result (including overtime) or follow its stated procedures for cancellations or postponements. Check KALSHI’s event terms for the definitive policy.