| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball St. wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ball St. wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Western Michigan wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Western Michigan wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Western Michigan wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ball St. wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Western Michigan wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Western Michigan wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ball St. wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Western Michigan wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ball St. wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations for the first-half point spread between Ball St. and Western Michigan; it matters for people who trade early-game outcomes or want a market view of which team will lead at halftime.
Ball State and Western Michigan are Mid-American Conference opponents whose games often hinge on early drives, starting quarterback play, and tempo. First-half spreads capture a short window of play where coaching tendencies, turnovers, and early-game matchups matter more than full-game adjustments.
Market prices reflect the consensus expectation for the halftime margin and update as new information arrives; interpret movement as shifting market sentiment rather than fixed truth.
The official close time is listed on the KALSHI market page and is currently TBD; typically first-half markets close at or shortly before the game kickoff or the start of the first half, so orders must be placed before that close.
Each outcome maps to a particular first-half spread result (specific margin ranges or exact margins depending on how the market is structured), with settlement based on the halftime score differential as recorded in the official gamebook.
Settlement follows the platform's contingency rules: if the first half does not occur or the game is voided, the market will typically be voided or settled per KALSHI's official policy and active positions refunded; check the market page and platform rules for specifics.
Announcements of the starting quarterback, late injury reports or scratches, surprise roster decisions, or coach statements about using backups or changing tempo are the most market-moving items because they directly affect expected early possessions and scoring.
Focus on recent first-half scoring margins, each team's first-half offensive/defensive splits this season, turnover rates, and comparable opponent matchups; prioritize recent games and those with similar starting lineups over distant historical results.