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Sports OPEN

Australian Grand Prix: Fastest Lap

📊 $28K traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$28K
Open Interest
26,590
Active Markets
22
Markets
22

Trade This Market

Yes Bid
Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
Buy YES → Buy NO

Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (22)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
George Russell 42%
38¢ 42¢ $7K Trade →
Max Verstappen 19%
15¢ 19¢ $4K Trade →
Oscar Piastri 4%
$4K Trade →
Charles Leclerc 8%
$4K Trade →
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 24%
20¢ 24¢ $4K Trade →
Lewis Hamilton 6%
$2K Trade →
Lando Norris 3%
$1K Trade →
Isack Hadjar 3%
$992 Trade →
Arvid Lindblad 3%
$552 Trade →
Valtteri Bottas 4%
$133 Trade →
Liam Lawson 2%
$125 Trade →
Pierre Gasly 3%
$100 Trade →
Nico Hulkenberg 4%
$83 Trade →
Oliver Bearman 4%
$83 Trade →
Alexander Albon 1%
$78 Trade →
Sergio Perez 1%
$50 Trade →
Gabriel Bortoleto 1%
$32 Trade →
Franco Colapinto 0%
$0 Trade →
Fernando Alonso 0%
$0 Trade →
Lance Stroll 0%
$0 Trade →
Esteban Ocon 0%
$0 Trade →
Carlos Sainz Jr. 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which driver will set the single fastest official lap during the Australian Grand Prix race session — a concise way for traders to express expectations about raw race pace and late-race strategy. Fastest-lap markets matter because they concentrate many dynamic race factors into one observable outcome.

The Australian Grand Prix (commonly held at Albert Park in Melbourne) is a semi-street circuit where track evolution, surface temperature and Safety Car frequency all materially affect lap times. The market lists 22 outcomes corresponding to the race entry list, so historical team performance, recent upgrades and tyre behavior at this venue provide useful context.

Market prices here reflect the collective view of which driver the market expects to record the quickest single lap and will update as new information (practice times, weather, incidents) arrives. Use the prices as a real-time signal of relative expectations, but always check the market's settlement rules for final resolution details.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What do the 22 outcomes represent in this market?

Each outcome corresponds to one driver entered for the Australian Grand Prix; the market pays out to the driver who records the single quickest official lap time during the race session, as recorded by the official timekeeper.

When does this market close and when will it resolve?

The market's close time is listed as TBD; commonly, fastest-lap markets close before the race start or at the race start and resolve after the race once official lap times are published. Check the specific market page for the exact close and settlement schedule.

Does a driver have to finish the race to win this market?

Resolution depends on the platform's settlement rules: standard timing records count the fastest official lap irrespective of finishing position, but some competitions attach separate eligibility rules—verify this market's rules on the platform before trading.

How do Safety Cars and VSCs influence who sets the fastest lap?

Neutralizations reduce overall opportunities to set fast laps but can create short windows for low-fuel runs or fresh-tyre stints after a restart; teams that react quickly to these windows are more likely to extract a late fastest lap.

What real-time signals should I watch during race weekend to update my view on this market?

Follow practice and qualifying lap times, team tyre choices and announced stint plans, live weather and track-temperature updates, pit-stop timing and in-race incident reports, plus any team statements about strategy or reliability concerns.

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