| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 67% | 67¢ | 69¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Perth | 14% | 12¢ | 14¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Tie | 20% | 18¢ | 20¢ | — | $254 | Trade → |
This market covers the outcome of the sporting matchup labeled "Auckland vs Perth" on KALSHI and matters because it aggregates market participants' expectations about which of three outcomes will occur.
Auckland and Perth represent teams or franchises from their respective cities; depending on the sport, their recent form, travel, and scheduling will shape expectations. The market has three outcomes and modest trading volume to date, so price movements can reflect new information about rosters, weather, or competition context.
Prediction market prices summarize collective beliefs about each outcome; in this context they are best used as a continuously updating signal that incorporates news and trader sentiment rather than a definitive forecast.
The market close time is listed as TBD; monitor the KALSHI market page or official communications for the announced settlement/close time.
The market lists three mutually exclusive outcomes—typically the home-team win, the away-team win, and a draw or third-condition outcome—so check the market description on KALSHI to confirm the exact labels used here.
$261 of volume indicates current liquidity and interest: lower volume can mean wider spreads and greater price sensitivity to individual trades, so expect more volatile price moves on new information compared with highly traded markets.
Yes, past matchups can provide context, but weigh recency, competition type, and roster continuity—old results are less informative if teams have had major roster or coaching changes since those meetings.
Track confirmed starters, team captains, primary scorers or pitchers, and coaching announcements; specifics depend on the sport, so consult official lineup releases and pregame injury reports for Auckland and Perth.