| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auckland wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auckland wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Newcastle wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the upcoming Auckland at Newcastle match; spread markets matter because they isolate margin outcomes and let traders express views about how close or lopsided the game will be.
The listing covers a head-to-head fixture between Auckland and Newcastle and offers four mutually exclusive spread bands as possible outcomes. Historical competitiveness between the teams, recent form, injuries, travel and venue all shape expected margins; the market will update as new information arrives. The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently shows multiple spread options with a closing time to be announced.
Market prices indicate the crowd’s view of which spread band is most likely to occur and will move as traders react to news and line changes. Treat prices as a real-time consensus signal rather than a guarantee; settlement is determined by the official final margin per the platform’s rules.
The close time is listed as TBD; typically the market will close at or shortly before the official match start time and the platform will announce the final close and any deadlines for orders.
Each outcome corresponds to a distinct margin band (i.e., which team covers by a certain range of points/goals); the winning outcome is determined by the official final margin and the platform’s settlement rules.
Late news often triggers rapid price movement as traders reassess expected margins; a key starter being ruled out or returned can shift which spread outcome the market favors, but settlement still depends only on the official final score.
Settlement will use the official match result as reported by the sport’s governing body or the official match report referenced by the platform; check the market’s rules on KALSHI for the exact source and tie-break procedures.
Monitor pre-game information (lineups, weather, travel news), compare that information to the current market prices, size positions to limit downside, and be mindful of liquidity and any fees since spreads can move sharply into kickoff.