| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama wins by over 7.5 Points | 49% | 47¢ | 49¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 4.5 Points | 62% | 61¢ | 62¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 8.5 Points | 44% | 43¢ | 45¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 5.5 Points | 57% | 55¢ | 57¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 1.5 Points | 72% | 68¢ | 73¢ | — | $496 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 20.5 Points | 7% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $267 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 2.5 Points | 24% | 19¢ | 23¢ | — | $79 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 5.5 Points | 16% | 12¢ | 15¢ | — | $66 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 17.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 23.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 20.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 11.5 Points | 36% | 31¢ | 35¢ | — | $39 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 23¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 14¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 65¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 21¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on the point-spread outcome for the Auburn at Alabama football game, showing which margin-of-victory ranges the market thinks are most likely. It matters because the Iron Bowl is a high-stakes rivalry that often affects conference standings and player evaluations.
Auburn vs Alabama is the Iron Bowl, one of college football's longest and most intense in-state rivalries with a history of upset results and emotional swings. Outcomes in this matchup frequently hinge on turnover luck, coaching adjustments, and short-term form rather than season-long metrics, so markets can move rapidly as new information arrives.
Prices in this spread market reflect the aggregation of trader beliefs about which margin range will occur and will move as news (injuries, weather, lineup announcements) and betting flow arrive. Interpret prices as a dynamic synthesis of available information, not a static prediction.
The market close is listed as TBD; on KALSHI spread markets typically close before or at game start, but check the platform for the official close time and any updates.
Each of the 11 outcomes corresponds to a specific margin-of-victory interval for the game (different ranges favoring either team); view the outcome labels on the KALSHI market page to see the exact spread ranges.
Late injuries or starter changes typically trigger rapid price movement as traders update expectations; monitor official team reports and the market for quick adjustments before close.
Use historical Iron Bowl outcomes for context—these games often defy season-long trends—but prioritize current-season form, injuries, and matchup-specific data when forming a view.
Yes. Alabama’s home-field conditions, partisan crowd noise, travel factors for Auburn, and adverse weather can impact play-calling and scoring and are commonly incorporated into spread prices as information becomes available.