| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Peay | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $24K | Resolved |
| Florida Gulf Coast | 2% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $12K | Resolved |
| Bellarmine | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $11K | Resolved |
| Queens University | 48% | 21¢ | 47¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Lipscomb | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Resolved |
| Stetson | 3% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Central Arkansas | 70% | 53¢ | 68¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Eastern Kentucky | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| West Georgia | 2% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Jacksonville | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| North Alabama | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the Atlantic Sun (ASUN) Men's Conference Tournament and be named tournament champion; the outcome matters because the champion typically earns the conference's automatic berth to the NCAA tournament and shapes postseason narratives.
The ASUN is a Division I mid-major conference whose membership and competitive balance have evolved over time; the conference tournament is usually a single-elimination event held in late-season play to determine the champion. Historically the event has produced both repeat winners and notable upsets, and changes in membership, scheduling, or tournament format can affect which programs are most competitive from year to year.
Market prices reflect traders' collective assessment of each team's chances and update as new information arrives (seedings, injuries, game results); the market resolves to the team officially declared the conference tournament champion after the tournament concludes.
Each outcome corresponds to an ASUN conference team currently eligible to compete for the tournament title; the 12 outcomes reflect the market's set of contenders and can change if membership or eligibility changes.
The market's close is listed as TBD and typically occurs shortly before the tournament begins or at a preannounced cutoff; the market resolves when the conference officially names its tournament champion after the final game.
The ASUN tournament champion receives the conference's automatic bid to the NCAA men's basketball tournament, which is the primary direct route for ASUN representation in March Madness.
Prices often shift on late-season injuries or returns, finalized seedings, surprising conference results, coaching changes, and any in-tournament upsets that change a team's path or perceived likelihood of winning.
A materially impactful personnel addition or loss typically prompts traders to update positions; the market will adjust to reflect perceived changes in team strength, rotation depth, scoring, or matchup implications for tournament play.