| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Atlanta or Minnesota — will win the listed head-to-head matchup on KALSHI. It matters because markets aggregate real-money expectations about the game’s outcome and react to news that affects the matchup.
This is a single head-to-head sporting contest between Atlanta and Minnesota; background context that matters includes each team’s recent form, head-to-head history, and the specific competition (league, playoff or regular-season context). Pre-game factors such as confirmed starters, injuries, scheduling and venue can shift the contest’s outlook quickly.
Market prices reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders about which team will win and will move as new information arrives; they are not guarantees but a continuously updating summary of expectations.
Each outcome corresponds to the official winner of the listed game as recorded by the sport’s governing body: the 'Atlanta' outcome pays if Atlanta is the official winner; the 'Minnesota' outcome pays if Minnesota is the official winner. Extra time, overtime or extra innings count toward the official result unless the event page specifies otherwise.
The market’s close time is listed as TBD on the event page and will normally be set before the game starts; the market resolves after the official final result is posted by the league and per KALSHI settlement rules. Check the market page for updates when the schedule is finalized.
Resolution follows the platform’s event terms and the sport’s official rules: if the game is postponed to a later date within the platform’s resolution window it will usually resolve based on the eventual official result; if cancelled or voided beyond allowed timeframes, the market may be voided and positions refunded—consult the event terms on KALSHI for specifics.
Watch confirmed starters (pitcher/QB/lineup), official injury reports and transaction announcements, late scratches, weather alerts for outdoor venues, and coaching or lineup changes; these items typically produce immediate market reactions.
Consider home-field effects such as crowd support, familiarity with the venue, and last-at-bat advantages (where applicable), plus travel distance and rest days—teams on short rest or long road trips often underperform relative to fully rested opponents, and those factors are commonly priced into markets.