| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 44% | 36¢ | 44¢ | — | $21 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 26¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 17¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 4¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 32¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 22¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half point-spread outcome will occur between Atlanta and Milwaukee; it matters to traders who want to express views on how the game will start and to those hedging in-game exposure.
The market focuses on the first half only, isolating opening pace, starters, and early-matchup advantages rather than full-game variance. It currently offers 10 distinct spread outcomes and shows modest early volume ($21), so prices may move quickly as lineup, injury, or tip-off information arrives.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about the teams' first-half performance and will update with new information; treat prices as a real-time sentiment indicator, not a guarantee of outcome.
There are 10 distinct outcomes in this market, each corresponding to a different first-half spread range or line; selecting an outcome means you are predicting which spread bracket will be true at halftime.
The official close time is listed as TBD; in practice, markets of this type typically stop accepting trades at or shortly before the scheduled tip-off or when the league reports the game as starting. Check the KALSHI platform for the precise close time for this event.
Settlement uses the official game score at halftime (end of the second quarter) as recorded by the league; any points scored after halftime are not considered for first-half spread outcomes.
Significant pre-game news such as a starter being ruled out typically moves market prices quickly because it changes matchup dynamics and expected minutes; traders often react within minutes of official injury reports.
If the first half is not played or completed, resolution follows KALSHI's event rules—commonly such markets are voided or settled according to the platform's cancellation policy—so consult the platform's official rules for final guidance.