| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta wins 1st half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins 1st half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which team—Atlanta or Dallas—will be leading at the end of the first half. It matters for participants who specialize in early-game dynamics, in-play hedging, and halftime-focused strategies.
First-half markets isolate early-game performance and remove outcomes driven by late-game comebacks or full-game adjustments. Historical head-to-head tendencies, recent first-half form, and coaching approaches to starts and rotations often shape results. Because the timeframe that constitutes a "first half" depends on the sport, consult the official game format for precise timing.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about who will be ahead at the official end of the first half and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, pace). Treat prices as a real-time signal of market sentiment rather than a certainty.
The three outcomes correspond to Atlanta leading at official halftime, Dallas leading at official halftime, or the score being tied at official halftime (a draw). Settlement is based on the official halftime score recorded by the game's governing body.
The market settles once the first half is officially complete according to the sport's game clock and the exchange's settlement procedures. This specific market lists its close time as TBD, so watch the exchange for the posted close and any last-minute changes.
Late changes can materially affect first-half expectations because they alter matchups and rotation depth; prices often move quickly on credible reports from team or league sources and trusted beat reporters.
No—only the official score at the end of the first half is used for settlement. Overtime and later-game scoring do not change the first-half result; for sports with different half definitions, the exchange follows the sport's official halftime rule.
If the first half is not completed as scheduled, the exchange's settlement policy applies; common outcomes include voiding the market or following the official ruling for a rescheduled completion. Consult KALSHI's official rules for the definitive policy on suspensions and cancellations.