| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brent Rooker: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daulton Varsho: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daulton Varsho: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ernie Clement: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ernie Clement: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Springer: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Springer: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Wilson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Wilson: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Kurtz: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Kurtz: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shea Langeliers: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shea Langeliers: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks how many total home runs will be hit in the A's vs Toronto game; it matters because total-run markets let traders express views about offensive environment and in-game factors without picking a winner.
Total home-run markets are short-duration, event-specific contracts tied to the official box score for a single game. The A's and Blue Jays present contrasting run environments in many seasons—Toronto has frequently featured middle-of-order power bats while Oakland's run-scoring profile has varied—so matchup, ballpark, and pitching are central to outcomes.
Market prices indicate collective expectations about the final home-run count but should be read as dynamic information rather than fixed predictions; check the event description and resolution rules on Kalshi for the authoritative method of counting home runs.
Each outcome corresponds to a discrete possible total number of home runs recorded by both teams in the specified A's vs Toronto game; the event page lists 17 mutually exclusive resolution outcomes that will be resolved per Kalshi’s published rules.
The event shows the market closing time as TBD; marketplaces typically close trading at or just before the scheduled first pitch or when the game officially begins—check the Kalshi event page for the final posted close time.
Resolution follows Kalshi’s event rules: they generally use the official MLB box score and have specific procedures for postponed or suspended games (for example, counting only completed official games or declaring certain events void); consult the event’s resolution terms for the exact policy.
Monitor the scheduled starting pitchers and their HR tendencies, the presence or absence of each team’s primary power hitters and designated hitter, lineup protections, and late scratches or return-from-injury updates—those factors drive short-term changes in expected home-run totals.
Ballpark dimensions and whether the venue is dome/roofed versus open-air materially change how flyballs carry; wind direction, temperature and humidity also influence carry and can swing the expected number of homers, so check the scheduled venue and weather forecast before trading.