| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $191K | Trade → |
| Collin Morikawa | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $132K | Trade → |
| Ludvig Aberg | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $71K | Trade → |
| Daniel Berger | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $67K | Trade → |
| Akshay Bhatia | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $63K | Trade → |
| Chris Gotterup | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $56K | Trade → |
| Min Woo Lee | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $56K | Trade → |
| Sepp Straka | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| Rickie Fowler | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $36K | Trade → |
| Sahith Theegala | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $35K | Trade → |
| Xander Schauffele | 20% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Rory McIlroy | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $33K | Resolved |
| Viktor Hovland | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $30K | Trade → |
| Cameron Young | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $30K | Trade → |
| Russell Henley | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Jordan Spieth | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Harris English | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Shane Lowry | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Resolved |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Harry Hall | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Si Woo Kim | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Ryan Fox | 10% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Matthew McCarty | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Jake Knapp | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Resolved |
| Joel Dahmen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Resolved |
| Ryan Gerard | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Resolved |
| Adam Scott | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Justin Thomas | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Resolved |
| Austin Smotherman | 2% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Resolved |
| Corey Conners | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Maverick McNealy | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Keith Mitchell | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Bud Cauley | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Alex Noren | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Max Greyserman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Andrew Putnam | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Ben Griffin | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Resolved |
| Kurt Kitayama | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Robert MacIntyre | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Pierceson Coody | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Resolved |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Jason Day | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Resolved |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Sungjae Im | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| Billy Horschel | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Taylor Moore | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Justin Rose | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| Andrew Novak | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Keegan Bradley | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Resolved |
| Sam Burns | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Resolved |
| Nick Taylor | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Brian Campbell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $973 | Resolved |
| Denny McCarthy | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $719 | Resolved |
| Brian Harman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $715 | Trade → |
| Patrick Cantlay | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $678 | Resolved |
| J.J. Spaun | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $643 | Resolved |
| Daniel Bennett | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $641 | Trade → |
| Chris Kirk | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $444 | Trade → |
| Michael Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $401 | Trade → |
| Tom Hoge | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $321 | Resolved |
| Patrick Rodgers | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $219 | Trade → |
| Lucas Glover | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $132 | Trade → |
| Sam Stevens | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $105 | Resolved |
| Taylor Pendrith | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| J.T. Poston | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $66 | Resolved |
| Hao-Tong Li | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14 | Resolved |
This market asks which players will finish inside the top five at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard; it matters because top-5 finishes signal strong performance and are a common target for traders and bettors in player-specific markets.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational is an annual PGA TOUR event held at Bay Hill Club & Lodge, known for a demanding layout that rewards ball-striking and course knowledge. Historically it attracts a deep field and several past champions and frequent Bay Hill contenders, making top-5 placement competitive and informative about a player's form.
Market odds are an aggregate, real-time reflection of trader expectations for each listed player's chance of finishing in the tournament top five; interpret them as a consensus signal that updates with new information such as withdrawals, tee times, and weather.
The market close is determined by the exchange; for this listing it is currently shown as TBD. Typically such markets close shortly before the first scheduled tee times—check the live market page for the exact closing timestamp and any updates.
Each listed player outcome is settled against the official final leaderboard published by the PGA TOUR or tournament officials: if the named player is recorded inside the top five after all rounds and any playoffs, that outcome resolves as a top-5 finisher per the exchange's settlement rules.
Settlement follows the PGA TOUR's official handling of ties and the exchange's rules. If a tie results in multiple players occupying the top-5 positions per the official leaderboard, those tied players are treated as top-5 finishers for settlement purposes—consult the market's rule page for any edge-case mechanics.
The 72 outcomes correspond to the players included in the market at the time of listing. If a player withdraws before market close, the exchange may remove, void, or adjust that outcome according to its rules; if the withdrawal occurs after close, settlement is based on the official tournament results.
Useful indicators include past Bay Hill results (prior top-10s or wins), recent weeks' scoring and strokes-gained stats, proficiency in windy or fast conditions, par-4 and short par-5 scoring ability, and any current injury or fitness reports—these factors commonly correlate with higher chances of a top-5 finish.