| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $196K | Trade → |
| Collin Morikawa | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $90K | Trade → |
| Rory McIlroy | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $49K | Resolved |
| Chris Gotterup | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $46K | Trade → |
| Daniel Berger | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $43K | Trade → |
| Rickie Fowler | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $41K | Trade → |
| Jordan Spieth | 29% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $39K | Trade → |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| Ludvig Aberg | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| Min Woo Lee | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| Xander Schauffele | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Sahith Theegala | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| Sepp Straka | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Viktor Hovland | 18% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Russell Henley | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| Jake Knapp | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $24K | Resolved |
| Akshay Bhatia | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Taylor Pendrith | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Ryan Gerard | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $17K | Resolved |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 10% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| Brian Campbell | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Resolved |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Resolved |
| Cameron Young | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Billy Horschel | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Joel Dahmen | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Resolved |
| Pierceson Coody | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Resolved |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Si Woo Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Resolved |
| Shane Lowry | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Resolved |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Austin Smotherman | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Resolved |
| Adam Scott | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Matthew McCarty | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Daniel Bennett | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Keith Mitchell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Corey Conners | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Ryan Fox | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Ben Griffin | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Resolved |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Harry Hall | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Justin Thomas | 14% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Resolved |
| Harris English | 23% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Kurt Kitayama | 19% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Robert MacIntyre | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Maverick McNealy | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Bud Cauley | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Alex Noren | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Sungjae Im | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Resolved |
| Justin Rose | 22% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Resolved |
| Max Greyserman | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Michael Kim | 10% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Sam Burns | 16% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| Taylor Moore | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Keegan Bradley | 21% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| Lucas Glover | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Jason Day | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| Andrew Putnam | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Nick Taylor | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Brian Harman | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| J.J. Spaun | 13% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Resolved |
| Tom Hoge | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $920 | Resolved |
| Andrew Novak | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $880 | Trade → |
| Chris Kirk | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $805 | Trade → |
| Denny McCarthy | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $642 | Resolved |
| Sam Stevens | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $557 | Resolved |
| Patrick Rodgers | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $376 | Trade → |
| J.T. Poston | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $110 | Resolved |
| Hao-Tong Li | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Resolved |
This market asks which listed golfer will finish inside the top 10 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard; it matters because top-10 finishes indicate strong performance at a prestigious PGA Tour event and drive payouts for participants in this market.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational is an annual PGA Tour event held at Bay Hill Club & Lodge, founded and hosted in honor of Arnold Palmer; it typically draws a strong, invitational field and is played on a challenging Par-72 course with a premium on ball-striking and scrambling. Performance here is influenced by course setup, seasonal form, and whether players treat it as a key target or a tune-up for other tournaments.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s current assessment of each player’s chances and adjust as new information arrives (withdrawals, weather, tee times, form). Use them as a dynamic signal of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction.
The platform will set a specific close time for this market, typically before the first round or first tee time; check the event page for the final close timestamp because it can vary and is listed on Kalshi.
This market lists the roster of players included by the market creator (72 outcomes in this instance), representing the entrants the market will settle against; listed outcomes reflect the field at market creation and may not change if alternates are used—refer to the event rules on the platform for handling late additions.
No; missing the cut prevents a player from completing all rounds and therefore they cannot finish inside the official top 10 on the final leaderboard used for settlement.
Settlement is based on the official final leaderboard published by the tournament and/or the platform’s stated resolution rules; ties that place a player within the top-10 group are typically treated according to those official rules, so check Kalshi’s market rules or event description for the precise tie-handling policy.
Key updates include tee times, withdrawal or illness reports, official practice round notes, weather forecasts for each round, and live leaderboard movement—any of these can prompt rapid market adjustments and are the most relevant signals for changing expectations.