| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 12.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 13.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many total runs will be scored in the game between Arizona and Los Angeles D (the market lists 11 possible outcomes). It matters because total-run markets let traders express expectations about overall scoring rather than which team wins.
Total-run markets for a specific matchup combine information about pitching matchups, lineups, ballpark effects, and situational factors. On KALSHI this market is new (Total Volume Traded: $0) and the listed 11 outcomes define discrete total-run buckets or totals that traders can back or lay. Because the close time is listed as TBD, outcomes and pricing will evolve as lineup and weather information arrives.
Market odds represent the collective expectation of participants about the combined runs scored and will move as new public information (starter announcements, injuries, weather) becomes available. Interpret prices as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee of the final score.
The market close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close time on the market page, and trades are typically cut off before the game start or at an explicitly stated time.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete total-run buckets or exact totals as defined by the market creator on KALSHI; view the market interface to see the label and payoff rules for each outcome.
Starter quality changes expected runs materially—aces who generate weak contact and strikeouts tend to push totals lower, while inexperienced or high-contact starters can push totals higher; left/right matchups versus the opposing lineup also matter.
Markets typically react quickly to late news; traders reprice outcomes when lineups or pitching changes are announced, so significant late changes can move the market substantially before close.
Historical head-to-head results provide context but are only one input—current-season form, the announced pitchers, injuries, and venue/weather are usually more predictive for a single-game total.